The Federal Reserve’s Tools Might Be Ineffective

The Federal Reserve’s Tools Might Be Ineffective

May 12, 2025 The economy in the 2020s has not been boring. We’ve had a pandemic and inflation already. Now we have a trade war, recession fears, maybe more inflation, and capital flying out of U.S. dollar assets. In the past, the Federal Reserve would often step in to...
Indicators Say We’re Headed for a Recession

Indicators Say We’re Headed for a Recession

April 14, 2025 The real economy isn’t doing well. Investors cheered when the Federal Reserve began lowering the federal funds rate last year. But inflation is still stubbornly high, and the interest rate that matters most – the 10-year Treasury yield –...
Famous “Market Rules to Remember”

Famous “Market Rules to Remember”

February 24, 2025 As the market remains frothy from a historical perspective, I encourage you to read some interesting points from Merrill Lynch’s former Chief Market Analyst, Bob Farrell. His famous “Market Rules to Remember” first appeared after the dot-com bubble...
Cheaper, Faster Government Is Not Guaranteed

Cheaper, Faster Government Is Not Guaranteed

February 17, 2025 You’ve probably heard of the new Department of Government Efficiency, or DOGE. While it offers long-term promise, it’s suffering some short-term peril. When it comes to spending, it almost doesn’t matter who gets elected president. That’s...
A Trend Towards Higher Rates

A Trend Towards Higher Rates

February 10, 2025 The bond market may be starting to worry. Last year was a good one for stocks. The Nasdaq Composite Index gained 28%, the S&P 500 gained 23%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose almost 13%. But if you look closer, both the 30-year and the...