Could Be a Melt Up

Could Be a Melt Up

Monday, October 20, 2025 The stock market has gained over 20% the last two years and over 14% so far this year. And yet, some people think it’s just getting started. This market backdrop is about as bullish as it gets. Despite all the rate hikes of 2022, the...
Indicators Show Euphoria

Indicators Show Euphoria

Monday, August 25, 2025 Stocks have been red hot for a while, with the major indices all rallying more than 30% since April lows. It’s been a great trading environment. So, what’s the problem? Well, everyone is frothy and bullish. Early on in this rally,...
Kicking the Can Down the Road

Kicking the Can Down the Road

Monday, July 7 On April 8, President Trump paused all reciprocal tariffs for 90 days. That is set to expire on July 8. As of this writing, the only trade deal we know about is with the U.K. That said, there may also be a deal with China, perhaps including 55% tariffs....
The Bond Market Sees Something Different

The Bond Market Sees Something Different

Monday, June 16 The bond market isn’t buying the recovery. Stocks are recovering as Treasury yields keep rising. The recovery in equities since early April has been impressive, driven by the U.S. pulling back from a global trade war. As of this writing, the...