The Federal Reserve Is Caught in a Trap

The Federal Reserve Is Caught in a Trap

Monday, September 8, 2025 It’s well known the Federal Reserve has a dual mandate guiding its actions and policy decisions. It aims to maintain price stability and inflation across the U.S. economy along with keeping robust employment levels. But the Fed is...
Indicators Show Euphoria

Indicators Show Euphoria

Monday, August 25, 2025 Stocks have been red hot for a while, with the major indices all rallying more than 30% since April lows. It’s been a great trading environment. So, what’s the problem? Well, everyone is frothy and bullish. Early on in this rally,...
Don’t Expect a V-Shaped Bottom

Don’t Expect a V-Shaped Bottom

May 19, 2025 Serious damage has been done to markets. The S&P 500 fell 21% by mid-April from its all-time high. Similarly, the Invesco QQQ Trust exchange-traded fund, which tracks big technology companies, has plunged 26%. Both major indices are now well below...
No Easy, Painless Way to Cure Inflation

No Easy, Painless Way to Cure Inflation

April 28, 2025 In 1979, Federal Reserve Chair Paul Volcker inherited a real mess. Government overspending led to budget deficits and a massive increase in the national debt. By 1974, inflation climbed to as high as 12%. To combat that, the Fed raised interest rates as...
Wall Street Is Bad at Predictions

Wall Street Is Bad at Predictions

April 21, 2025 In 2022, Wall Street predicted stocks would rise 5%. Stocks fell 18%. In 2023, for seemingly the first time ever, Wall Street predicted stocks would fall. Instead, the S&P 500 soared 26%. In 2024, Wall Street aimed too low again, forecasting the...