A House of Cards Waiting to Fall

A House of Cards Waiting to Fall

Monday, July 21 Is the recession already here? Thanks to years of high inflation and interest rates, even Americans with jobs are struggling to pay for necessities. Consumer staples prices have soared. Everyone knows about the price of eggs, which have nearly tripled...
The Government’s Awful Debt Situation

The Government’s Awful Debt Situation

Monday, June 23 Moody’s finally arrived at the party as last month it became the last of the three major credit ratings to downgrade the elite status of U.S. debt (from Aaa to Aa1). The ratings agency cited the federal government’s growing budget deficit and...
Don’t Expect a V-Shaped Bottom

Don’t Expect a V-Shaped Bottom

May 19, 2025 Serious damage has been done to markets. The S&P 500 fell 21% by mid-April from its all-time high. Similarly, the Invesco QQQ Trust exchange-traded fund, which tracks big technology companies, has plunged 26%. Both major indices are now well below...
The Federal Reserve’s Tools Might Be Ineffective

The Federal Reserve’s Tools Might Be Ineffective

May 12, 2025 The economy in the 2020s has not been boring. We’ve had a pandemic and inflation already. Now we have a trade war, recession fears, maybe more inflation, and capital flying out of U.S. dollar assets. In the past, the Federal Reserve would often step in to...
No Easy, Painless Way to Cure Inflation

No Easy, Painless Way to Cure Inflation

April 28, 2025 In 1979, Federal Reserve Chair Paul Volcker inherited a real mess. Government overspending led to budget deficits and a massive increase in the national debt. By 1974, inflation climbed to as high as 12%. To combat that, the Fed raised interest rates as...