The Wrath of the Butterfly

April 20, 2020 You may have heard of the “butterfly effect.” It’s when a small, seemingly insignificant change in a system can lead to large and unpredictable variation in that system over time. A common example of the concept is a butterfly flapping its wings in...

An American Sob Story

April 13, 2020 In a crisis, everything is stress-tested. That includes business models. Companies thought to be large enough to handle anything are being stretched to their limits. The COVID-19 crisis is illuminating the value of preparation and the steep costs of not...

Hope Amongst Volatility

April 6, 2020 I want to take a slightly positive viewpoint on this post because, despite the COVID-19 crisis, investors do have a reason to be hopeful. Last month saw the market’s worst trading day since 1987, featuring a 12 percent drop in the S&P 500 index....

Retirement, Politics a Desperate Mix for Some

March 16, 2020 In some tremendous news, last year the average 401(k) balance rose to $112,300, an increase of 17 percent from the prior year. Similarly, the average individual retirement account (IRA) balance rose 17 percent to $115,400. Both are new records....

Dip or Cliff?

March 9, 2020 I try to look at the bright side of things. But in this business, I’m often surrounded with negativity when it comes to markets and investing. In 2009, you would’ve thought we’d never escape the financial crisis. In 2011, everyone figured European debt...

The Bear Nobody Saw Coming?

March 2, 2020 I’ve been suggesting for a long time that the bear market is coming. It may already be here. Either way, the case for a stock market slowdown has never been stronger. Yet, stocks kept screaming higher at the beginning of this year, continuing last year’s...